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US stocks end,but investors still left them disappointed.

Jun 252009
 

usstockThe Federal Reserve didn’t surprise investors but still left them disappointed.

Stocks closed mostly higher Wednesday after the Fed said the economy was on the mend and orders for big-ticket manufactured items posted an unexpected increase. Although the Dow Jones industrials fell modestly, the broader market measures ended the day with gains.

Bond prices fell after the Fed said it wouldn’t step up its spending to purchase Treasurys and other debt to pry interest rates lower.

The central bank’s decision to leave its key lending rate at a low of zero to 0.25 percent was anticipated but some investors have been hoping the central bank would do more to help revive the economy. Others wanted the Fed to more clearly lay out how it will keep inflation in check.

“The Fed is still stuck on that tightrope of trying to make sure they provide enough reassurance to keep the recovery going but at the same time try to allay the concern that they won’t allow inflation to get going either,” said Bruce McCain, chief investment strategist at Key Private Bank in Cleveland.

In the economic assessment statement accompanying its rate decision, the Fed said the economy doesn’t appear to be sliding as quickly as it had been. It noted that consumer spending has shown further signs of stabilizing although job losses, shrinking wealth and tight credit remain problems. And while the Fed said economic activity is likely to remain weak for some time, it repeated its belief that stimulus policies will restore the economy to growth.

The Fed’s opinion could help reassure investors. A stock market rally that began in early March has faded as traders worried that the economy and corporate profits might not rebound as quickly as hoped. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index is up 33.2 percent from a 12-year low reached March 9, but down 4.8 percent from its most recent peak on June 12.

Investors have been concerned that rising prices or higher interest rates could upend a recovery. Policymakers noted that energy and other commodities prices have risen, although they said “substantial resource slack” would likely rein in cost pressures and that inflation “will remain subdued for some time.”

The Fed also didn’t say it would increase its purchases of Treasurys or other kinds of government debt, disappointing some investors who had hoped for more. The Fed has said it would buy $1.25 trillion in mortgage-backed securities and $300 billion in Treasurys in an effort to stimulate the economy by keeping borrowing rates low.

“There’s nothing here that is a nice green light. It’s more of the same,” said Steven Stahler, president of The Stahler Group in Baton Rouge, La.

The Dow fell 23.05, or 0.3 percent, to 8,299.86, extending its slide to a fourth day and a loss of 3 percent.

But the S&P 500 index rose 5.84, or 0.7 percent, to 900.94, the first finish above 900 since Friday. The Nasdaq composite index rose 27.42, or 1.6 percent, to 1,792.34 following better-than-expected earnings from software maker Oracle Corp.

About two stocks rose for every one that fell on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 4.72 billion shares, down from Tuesday’s 4.95 billion.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, rose to 3.69 percent from 3.63 percent Tuesday.

Bonds also drew strength from a successful Treasury Department auction of $37 billion in five-year notes. Auctions have been going smoothly this year, but both bond and stock investors are looking for signs that demand for new Treasury supply might be waning. If demand trails off, the government will have to raise yields sharply to attract buyers. Treasury yields are closely tied to borrowing rates for consumers on loans
such as mortgages.

Although the Fed has held its target fed funds rate steady since late last year, its economic statements have touched off big moves in stocks. In January, the statement coincided with hopes for a plan for banks’ toxic assets; in March, the Fed announced it would start buying Treasurys; and in April, the Fed said it was seeing signs the recession is easing.

Dan Cook, senior market analyst at IG Markets in Chicago, said some traders had been cautious ahead of the Fed’s statement, not knowing what policy steps it might take so that some disappointment was to be expected when the central bank’s comments were muted.

“In March they showed us the distance they will go for the shock and awe,” he said, referring to unprecedented policy steps.

Stocks had been sharply higher early in the day, with the Dow up 105 at its high, following a surprise jump in orders for big-ticket manufactured items. The Commerce Department said durable goods orders rose 1.8 percent in May. Economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters had anticipated a drop.

Recent gauges of the economy have been improving, but they have not yet pointed to growth. Many investors are nervous that a recovery could be hampered if the Fed raises interest rates too soon or starts dismantling its emergency supports for the financial system.

Kurt Karl, chief U.S. economist at Swiss Re, said policymakers appear confident they will be able to remove the central bank’s steadying hand from the economy because a recovery is taking root slowly, keeping inflation pressure low.

“They’ll have plenty of time at the rate things are going in the economy to implement the exit strategy,” he said. “They feel everything is on target and their game plan is working.”

In corporate news, Oracle jumped $1.39, or 7 percent, to $21.26 after its earnings exceeded analysts’ average forecast.

In other trading, crude oil fell 57 cents to settle at $68.67 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

The dollar was mixed against other major currencies
. Gold prices rose.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 5.18, or 1.1 percent, to 494.95.

Overseas, stocks rose. Britain’s FTSE 100 added 1.2 percent, Germany’s DAX index rose 2.7 percent, and France’s CAC-40 rose 2.2 percent. Japan’s Nikkei stock average advanced 0.4 percent.
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ECB pumps $617

Jun 252009
 

ecb-under-rate-pressureIn a bid to further unclog credit markets in the euro zone, the European Central Bank said on Wednesday that it will lend a record 442 billion euros ($617.8 billion) to banks for 12 months.
The bank’s auction of 12-month loans, which will carry a flat rate of 1 per cent, was launched earlier in the day and was fully subscribed.
The ECB said that 1,121 institutions subscribed to the offering, its biggest since December 2007 when it offered 348.6 billion euros.
Central banks worldwide, including the U.S. Federal Reserve and ECB, have pumped billions of dollars, euros, yen, pounds and Swiss francs into money markets since Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc filed for bankruptcy in September 2008, the which triggered the most acute phase of the financial crisis.
Since then, the euro zone has fallen into its worst recession in six decades.
The bank first announced in May that it would offer up money for a year, part of its bid to keep cash moving in the markets and to stem further fallout from the financial crisis. The bank has also lowered its benchmark interest rate to an historic low of 1 per cent and pledged to buy some 60 billion euros ($83.9 billion) in covered bonds, a relatively safe type of asset-backed security, from banks.
Axel Weber, Germany’s central bank president noted at a Cabinet meeting on Wednesday that “the ECB is using a whole series of instruments at the moment — so that, at least in terms of providing liquidity on a one-year basis, there can barely be any reasoning on banks’ part why credit cannot be given,” government spokesman Ulrich Wilhelm said.
On Monday, ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet warned that the economy was in “uncharted waters” and said there still remained a risk of unexpected financial turbulence that could roil any nascent recovery.
“Currently, we are still in the downturn phase — a downturn that globally is proving to be the deepest since the Second World War,” Jean-Claude Trichet told a business conference in Mardrid.
“While there are first signs that the pace of economic weakening is decelerating, we must remain alert. We are in uncharted waters, and there are still risks of a sudden emergence of unexpected financial turbulence.”

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Tracking gains in global markets,

Jun 252009
 

equity-negliThe key benchmark indices rose in the early deals today. The benchmark Sensex was up 108 points at 14,531 levels and the Nifty was up 22 points at 4,315 levels.

“The Nifty is likely to stay in the range of 4,150 and 4,450. If 4,150 is broken then it may even fall to 3,750,” said Sandeep Wagle, chief technical analyst, Angel Broking.
Buying interest was seen in realty, capital goods and technology stocks. The realty index on the BSE gained 2.7 per cent and the capital goods index rose 1.4 per cent. The BSE technology index gained 1 per cent.
However, analysts expressed concern over delayed monsoon.
“Monsoon deficiency may put pressure on agro-based commodities, FMCG and related sectors like auto,” said investment advisor Sharmila Joshi.
Among the Sensex stocks, realty major DLF led gainers. The stock rose 2.8 per cent in early trade today. Grasim Industries, RCom and TCS were the other main gainers in the pack, up more than 2 per cent each.
However, Tata Steel, ONGC and M&M were among the losers in the pack.

In the US markets, stocks closed mostly higher on Wednesday after the Fed said the economy was on the mend and orders for big-ticket manufactured items posted an unexpected increase. Although the Dow Jones industrials fell modestly, the broader market measures ended the day with gains.
The Dow fell 23.05, or 0.3 percent, to 8,299.86, extending its slide to a fourth day and a loss of 3 percent.
But the S&P 500 index rose 5.84, or 0.7 percent, to 900.94, the first finish above 900 since Friday. The Nasdaq composite index rose 27.42, or 1.6 percent, to 1,792.34 following better-than-expected earnings from software maker Oracle Corp.
Asian markets were also trading higher today. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, South Korea’s Kospi and Japan’s Nikkei were up more than 2 per cent each.
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Traders lose faith in long-term bonds

Jun 252009
 

bse-sensexThe bond market seems to be ignoring falling inflation rates, as traders lose faith in long-term bonds thinking interest rates are likely
to go up.

Traders feel that interest rates may have bottomed out and are headed northwards, and hence are only trading bonds of shorter duration,

Unlike pension funds and insurance companies, banks have to mark-to-market their portfolios. Staying at the shorter end reduces risks to the portfolio, he adds.

Treasuries of banks and bond houses are only trading securities of shorter duration, shunning even the benchmark 10-year bond. Bankers say that the pattern in the securities that Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has been selling at auctions has also had a major role to play in this.

Bonds of shorter tenure have a lesser sensitivity to interest rates. For instance, a basis point rise or fall in the yield of a bond due in 2036 makes the portfolio lose or gain 13 paisa. The corresponding number for the 2014 bond is only 4.8 paisa.

The most commonly-traded security over the past weeks has been the 6.07% government stock which is due in 2014. This has accounted for two-third of the total volume, along with two other bonds maturing in 2015 and 2016.

However, the trend has been triggered by RBI which is actively selling shorter tenure securities at its weekly auctions, says Golaka C Nath, senior vice-president, Clearing Corporation of India.

The preference for shorter bonds has pushed the benchmark 10-year bond to the background, even as its volumes were in the range of Rs 50-200 crore for the past two weeks and had not been traded for many days.

Analysts point out that the current shallow state of the bond market is a concern, when regulators are looking to launch interest rate futures (IRFs).

In a joint press release, Sebi and RBI have said that the deliverable grade of securities in IRFs should be those maturing between 7.5 years and 15 years, and with a minimum total outstanding stock of Rs 10,000 crore.

“With longer tenure securities being so illiquid, there’s a chance that sellers may dump all such securities on to buyers. In that case, IRFs will struggle to take off,” Mr Nath said.

However, he is not too worried about the fact that the 10-year paper is not being traded. He says that RBI will vigorously re-issue benchmark securities at an appropriate time. This should reinstate volumes in the segment.
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Shares of Great Offshore jumped

Jun 252009
 

financeGreat Offshore on Wednesday advanced by nearly 4 per cent in the morning trade on the Bombay Stock Exchange, amid a tussle between
Bharati Shipyard and ABG Shipyard for acquiring a controlling stake in the drilling firm.

Shares of Great Offshore jumped 3.69 per cent to an intra-day high of Rs 428.90. It was later trading at Rs 423, up 2.27 per cent on the BSE.

Meanwhile, Bharati Shipyard surged 6.03 per cent to a high of Rs 172.30 on the BSE. It was later trading at Rs 168.10, up 3.45 per cent over the previous close on the exchange.

Yesterday, ABG Shipyard made an open offer for acquiring a 32 per cent stake in Great Offshore at Rs 374 a share, countering a bid made by Bharati Shipyard.

Following ABG Shipyard’s offer, Bharati Shipyard revised its offer price upward to Rs 403 a share and acquired a five per cent stake through open market transactions on the BSE.

Besides, ABG Shipyard rose 3.54 per cent to a high of Rs 220.70 on the BSE. The scrip was later quoting with a gain of 1.17 per cent over the previous close of Rs 215.65.

Bharati Shipyard had earlier this month made an open offer for a 20 per cent stake in the offshore drilling firm at Rs 344 a share, after acquiring a 14.89 per cent stake in Great Offshore following an invocation of shares which the promoters of the offshore drilling firm had pledged with its subsidiaries.

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BSE prepare IPO document

Jun 252009
 

asian-stock-market1Asia’s oldest bourse, Bombay Stock Exchange, has revived its plans to go public. The exchange will soon file the IPO document with Sebi.
According to sources, investment bank Kotak Mahindra Capital will advise the exchange in preparing the IPO document.

Earlier, Kotak Mahindra had advised the exchange when it sold its stake to two foreign exchanges. When contacted, BSE officials refused to comment on the issue.

The bourse is also working closely with the market regulator to frame self-listing norms as BSE intends to get listed on itself. It also has plans to list its shares on its rival NSE. In fact, BSE had raised its equity capital to meet the listing requirement of NSE.

The move comes in the wake of a top-level change in BSE management, where former senior-vice president of NYSE Euronext Madhu Kannan has come as the new CEO and MD. The exchange is looking to go for a combination of offer for sale as well as fresh issuance of shares through the public issue. The buzz about BSE public issue is already on as demand for BSE shares has increased.

are shave picked up quite sharply in the recent weeks.

Currently, BSE shares, that are in the demat form, are trading at Rs 200-215 levels. “Some large investors have picked up huge number of shares recently. There is a good demand for the BSE stock,” said a BSE broker.

Over the past three years, BSE has undergone complete transformation as it became a corporate entity and carried out demutualisation of exchange where ownership and management were segregated. The stake held by the brokers was brought below 51%. BSE brokers were issued shares in lieu of their trading cards where each broker was issued 10,000 shares.

The exchange also brought in two foreign bourses- the Singapore Stock Exchange and Deutsche Bourse- as strategic partners by offering 5% shares each.

BSE had clocked a profit of Rs 178 crore in FY2008. It also has a reserve of over Rs 1,500 crore. This year the exchange gave out a dividend of Rs 4 for every Re 1 share.

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Stocks are expected to open higher

Jun 252009
 

share-markets Stocks are expected to open higher on the last day of the June F&O series tracking advances
across Asia.

The Indian rupee was trading flat Thursday as positive cues from gains in Asian stocks were offset by concerns that poor rains could slow down growth further. The partially convertible rupee was at 48.56/57 per dollar, unchanged from the previous close.

Oil prices fell slightly to near $68 a barrel in Asia amid mixed signals about crude demand from a weekly US inventory report.

Shares of ONGC will be in focus after it reported an unexpected 16 percent drop in March quarter profit. But the firm was optimistic on its outlook for the current fiscal year partly because of possible deregulation of fuel prices.

Steel major Tata Steel and realty biggie Unitech will be watched ahead of the announcement of their financial results later Thursday.

Shares of Aditya Birla group companies may be watched after reports that the group is looking at consolidating its cement business, now running under Grasim Industries and UltraTech Cement, following the exit of Larsen & Toubro from UltraTech.

The delay and predictions that the monsoon rains will be below normal for the first time in four years may take a toll on FMCG companies.

Developers of de-notified special economic zone will have to refund tax sops given by the government, according to new rules on the anvil. Realty companies could be under pressure on account of this news.

Jaiprakash Power Venture, a unit of construction firm of Jaiprakash Associates, is set to merge with Jaiprakash Hydro Power Ltd, as a precursor to mobilising about Rs 30-40 billion through qualified institutional placement.

Sun TV Network Ltd has decided to allow Mauritius-based South Asia Multimedia Technologies Ltd, an investment arm of Malaysia’s Astro group, to raise stake in its FM unit to 20 per cent from 6.98 per cent now. Financial details were not divulged.
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Stocks are seen opening on a positive

Jun 252009
 

share-market-india1Stocks are seen opening on a positive note on the last day of the June F&O series tracking advances across Asia. However, predictions that the monsoon rains will be below normal for the first time in four years may hurt sentiment.

Poor rains may dent farm output, in turn, cause steep food prices thus lowering demand. This could hurt corporate profitability and peg back sentiment in financial markets.

Meanwhile, Asian equities were trading on a firm note on the back of gains in commodity prices which helped spur metal shares. The Nikkei climbed 1.58 per cent, Topix rose 1.54 per cent, Hang Seng advanced 1.33 per cent and Straits Times moved up 0.44 per cent.

US markets ended on a mixed note overnight as the Federal Reserve failed to enthuse investor sentiments after the central bank held the federal funds rate steady and reiterated concerns about the economic outlook. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 23.05 points, or 0.28 per cent, at 8,299.86. But the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was up 5.84 points, or 0.65 percent, at 900.94 and the Nasdaq Composite Index climbed 27.42 points, or 1.55 percent, at 1,792.34.

Back home, equity benchmarks ended firm but off highs Wednesday as investors bought stocks in power, capital goods and healthcare space ahead of June F&O expiry. Heavy buying was seen in midcaps and smallcaps. The market took support from a positive Europe and US stock futures but fears of below-average rainfall weighed on sentiments.

National Stock Exchange’s Nifty closed at 4292.95, up 45.95 points or 1.08 per cent. The broader index touched an intra-day high of 4307 and low of 4218.25.

Bombay Stock Exchange’s Sensex ended at 14,422.73, up 98.72 points or 0.69 per cent. It touched a high of 14479.82 and low of 14207.02 during the day.
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