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Developing nations join G8 talks on poverty

Jul 092009
 

rbi-governorLeaders of the world’s five biggest developing economies cranked up pressure on their counterparts from the richest nations Thursday for more concessions on poverty relief and climate warming.

Brazil, China, India, Mexico and South Africa joined an expanded G8 summit determined that international financial institutions use their multi-billion dollar government bailouts to help developing countries emerge from the economic crisis.

Banks and other financial institutions must “use their recently augmented resources to mainly help those developing countries which have been seriously affected by the crisis,” they said in a joint declaration ahead of the talks.

Mexican President Felipe Calderon told reporters the G5 leaders “are worried about the channeling of resources to restore international credit, especially in developing countries where credit and investment were particularly hard hit by the crisis.”

He also voiced “concern about the surge in protectionist practices that impede recovery” amid widespread calls in the United States to do more to shore up domestic markets.

Climate change will also be centre stage, and Japan said richer nations hoped to convince the G5 that greening their economies should not necessarily impact on their levels of growth.

We would hope and expect both India and China to introduce energy efficient technologies, making their production lines, steel mills and power stations more eco-friendly or green,” Kazuo Kodama, spokesman for Japanese Prime Minister Taro Aso, told AFP.

The talks in the quake-battered Italian town of L’Aquila, come amid differences even among the rich nations over reducing greenhouse gas emissions, with Russia rejecting the G8′s ambitious goals to cut emissions by 80 percent by 2050.

“No one wants to sacrifice their economic growth,” said Russian President Dmitry Medvedev’s top economic advisor Arkady Dvorkovich, echoing the viewpoint of the emerging economies.

He rejected the idea of developed countries cutting global emissions by 80 percent by 2050 as “unacceptable and unattainable”.

Basking in the limelight as summit host, Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, glossed over the differences after a opening day which saw G8 leaders unified in condemnation of North Korea’s recent missile tests, and expressing “serious concern” over a post-election crackdown in Iran.

For Berlusconi himself, it was a welcome relief from a series of scandals over his personal life that have been dogging him since April.

The G8 issued a strong condemnation of North Korea’s May 25 nuclear test, calling it a “flagrant violation” of UN resolutions.

“Such a test undermines peace and stability in the region and beyond,” said the text, which added condemnation of a missile launch in April.

On Iran, the G8 issued a joint declaration expressing “serious concern” over post-election violence but did not bow to US demands for tougher sanctions against the regime in Tehran.

The leaders also said they were determined to find a peaceful resolution to the standoff over Iran’s nuclear programme, urging Tehran to cooperate with the UN’s atomic watchdog.
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Huge truck bomb kills 12 schoolchildren

Jul 092009
 

taliban-pak96Taleban militants detonated a huge truck bomb south of the capital Kabul this morning killing 25 people, including 12 primary school children, according to local officials.

However, officials said they suspected the device was detonated prematurely after the truck crashed and had been intended for a “spectacular” attack on a target in Kabul ahead of presidential elections in August.

The blast in Mohammad Agha district of Logar Province, on the main route into Kabul from the south of the country, was powerful enough to throw pieces of the vehicle more than a mile, one local police official said.

The police chief of Logar, Mustafa Khan, said that he believed that the truck was intended for a target in Kabul.

Officials said that the truck, which also contained a cargo of timber, appeared to have suffered a mishap and rolled into a stream at some point during the hours of darkness. When police arrived to clear the obstacle at 7am the insurgents detonated it remotely.

In recent weeks Western officials in Kabul have been receiving increased levels of intelligence “chatter” suggesting a Taleban plan to detonate a truck bomb in Kabul ahead of August presidential elections.

“There are certainly heightened threat warnings,” said one Western official.

“The election period presents security complexities and certainly everyone is a little bit tense about the possibility of an attack in the next eight weeks.” The most likely targets of the would-be “spectacular” attack were diplomatic missions, government buildings or the United Nations.

The last major Taleban attack in Kabul was in February when militants wearing suicide bomb vests carried out co-ordinated assaults on a number of government ministries, in an attack apparently intended to ape the Mumbai terror attacks. At least 20 people were killed but Afghan police commandos regained control within four hours.

Many Kabulis have noted tangible improvements to the police operating in and around the city in recent months, while the new Interior Minister, Hanif Atmar, has been widely praised for bringing greater coordination to Afghan security forces.

Some 4,000 additional police have been drafted into the city ahead of the elections, many of them from more thoroughly trained Civil Order police units.

With checkposts on all roads into the city, Kabul police have successfully thwarted a number of recent attempts to smuggle explosives into the city. Last week police recovered 150 kilograms of explosives from one vehicle but Taleban bomb cells are still thought to be still operating inside the city.

The bomb attack came as Nato announced the deaths of two further Western soldiers in the south of the country amid intense fighting in Helmand and across the south of the country.

British and US forces are involved in coordinated offensives against the Taleban in Helmand Province. The nationality of the two soldiers killed has not yet been announced.
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Govt gets cracking

Jul 092009
 

budgetFinance Minister Pranab Mukherjee will meet the Securities & Exchange Board of India board on Friday to discuss, among other things, the disinvestment roadmap and the Budget proposal to raise the threshold for non-promoter public shareholding for all listed companies in a phased manner.

The meeting will take place a day before the minister meets the Reserve Bank of India’s central board of directors, which is a customary event every year after the Budget. The practice of a post-Budget meeting with Sebi started only last year.

Sources familiar with the developments said there was no pre-determined agenda for the meeting with Sebi, but the minister was keen to discuss the do-ability of the proposal to increase public shareholding in listed companies. Sources said Sebi was expected to suggest the timeframe by which such a step could be taken.

The minister will find Sebi receptive to the ideas, as a committee set up by the regulator had earlier suggested increasing the minimum public shareholding in listed companies to 25 per cent. According to Sebi, deep markets required larger and diversified public shareholdings, both for the private sector as well as listed public sector companies.

The finance ministry had proposed this last year, too, but the proposal could not be implemented because of adverse market conditions.

On disinvestment, the minister will seek Sebi’s opinion on the market’s preparedness to absorb such large public issues. Although the Budget has projected only Rs 1,120 crore receipts from disinvestment, sources said some big-ticket initial public offers, or IPOs, could hit the markets soon.

BS Reporter in New Delhi adds: While the IPO of the country’s largest hydro power producer, NHPC Ltd, will come next month, the Oil India public offer is expected in September.

NHPC plans to offer 1,670 million equity shares to investors, out of which 1,110 million would be fresh equity and the rest the government’s sale of 5 per cent stake in the company. After the issue, public shareholding in the company will be 10 per cent. “NHPC’s IPO will hopefully come in August. We are moving in that direction,” said Power Secretary H S Brahma.

The first oil sector disinvestment in the UPA government’s tenure through the OIL offer is expected to follow soon after. “We are planning the issue in the first week of September, subject to markets being conducive,” OIL Finance Director Ananth Kumar told Business Standard.

The last public sector undertaking to tap the stock market was Rural Electrification Corporation in February 2008. The issue did well, though the market had started its slide and a number of private companies, including Wockhardt and Emaar MGF, had to withdraw their IPOs.

There are quite a few others such as Coal India and Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd in the disinvestment queue.

NHPC had filed its Draft Red Herring Prospectus (DRHP) with Sebi last August. An earlier DRHP filed by the company in 2007 was rejected owing to the lack of required number of independent directors on its board.

OIL plans to offer 10 per cent of its equity to the public through issue of 26.4 million equity shares. The Union government will sell another 10 per cent to government-run refiners, including Indian Oil Corporation, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation and Bharat Petroleum Corporation. The company plans to launch the IPO before Sebi’s clearance expires on September 10. After the IPO and disinvestment.
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Infosys may revise dollar revenue

Jul 092009
 

ecb-under-rate-pressureThe street is expecting a distinct improvement in the first quarter’s performance as compared with that of the previous two quarters. Excluding the steep decline in the earnings of metal and real estate companies, the Sensex earnings are expected to remain flat or decline marginally in the first quarter.

The earnings season will kickstart on Friday with IT bellwether Infosys Technologies set to declare its report card for the first quarter of FY2009-10. According to brokerage
firm Sharekhan, Infosys is likely to revise the dollar-term revenue guidance upward largely due to favourable cross-currency movement during the quarter. “In terms of Infosys’ FY2010 earnings guidance (Rs 96.7 to Rs 101.2 per share), though the appreciation in the rupee calls for a downward revision in the earnings guidance, we believe the downward revision will be minimal considering the favourable cross-currency movement and improvement in the demand environment,

The top line of the front-line information technology companies is expected to decline by 2.0-2.5% sequentially in dollar terms in Q1FY2010. The volume growth is expected to remain sluggish and drop by 1-2% during the quarter. The renegotiation of contracts in the previous quarters is also likely to affect the pricing marginally in this quarter. However, the cross-currency movement was favourable during the quarter which is likely to partially offset the decline in the revenues in dollar terms. Sharekhan, therefore, expects the revenues in dollar terms to come at the higher end of the guidance for the front-line IT companies.

The operating profit margin of the front-line IT companies remained under pressure during the quarter. “We expect the OPM of the front-line IT companies to decline by 40-225 basis points during the quarter on account of a drop in the volume and utilisation rates, and appreciation in the rupee against the dollar. The decline in the OPM was partially offset by favourable cross-currency movement and lower variable pay in the wage cost during the quarter,” brokerage added.

In terms of foreign exchange movement, HCL Technologies is likely to benefit the most, as the reduction in its forex losses is likely to more than offset the decline in its revenues and margin owing to the appreciating rupee. For HCL Tech, forex losses is likely to stand at $25 million in Q1FY2010 compared with $40 million in Q4FY2009, as the translation loss of assets is likely to be partially offset by a marked-to-market (MTM) gain on the forward cover and a translation gain on foreign debt for the Axon acquisition.

Apart from this, though there has been stability in the demand environment, the volume growth has yet to see any uptick or revival. Hence, the street would be keenly watching the management commentary on the volume pick-up in the coming quarters, especially from the banking, financial services and insurance and telecommunications clients (major revenue contributors for the IT companies). Furthermore, the focus would be on the management commentary on conversion of deal pipelines, pricing renegotiations and hiring trend, indicating the future demand environment.
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Gujarat hooch tragedy

Jul 092009
 

lalghar-was-sn-obscureMore people have died in the Ahmedabad hooch tragedy after drinking illicit liquor, taking the death toll to 72.

The prime suspect in the hooch tragedy Harishankar Kahar was arrested on Wednesday night. Kahar alias Hariom, allegedly supplied spurious liquor in the Majoor Gam and Odhav areas where most of the deaths have occurred.

The ruling Narendra Modi government has come under attack after the tragedy. And the Congress party has called for a bandh in Ahmedabad.

The incident, in fact has sparked off protests, demanding the government to crack down illegal liquor dens. The issue also rocked the Gujarat assembly with the Congress demanding Home Minister Amit Shah’s resignation.

Minister of State for Home Amit Shah had on Wednesday announced the formation of a enquiry commission headed by Retd High Court Justice Kamal Mehta to probe into the hooch tragedy and the report has to be submitted by November 30, 2009.

Meanwhile, several others are still undergoing treatment. And six police officials including have been suspended and transfered in wake of the deaths.
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Jyoti Basu pitches for the future

Jul 092009
 

jyoti-basu-says-itTo those well-wishers of West Bengal who want development and prosperity for the State, I’m with you,” veteran Marxist leader Jyoti Basu, 95, said here on the occasion of his birthday on Wednesday, clearly pitching for the future of the State of which he was Chief Minister from 1977 to 2000. He was born on July 8, 1914.

Addressing a gathering at his Salt Lake residence, the frail-looking but cheerful nonagenarian said it was his wish that the State develop and its people prosper.

He did not mount a podium that was erected outside and chose to address the gathering from the foyer.

“We usually don’t observe birthdays, but since it’s the will of so many people, I usually come here for a few minutes. This year I’m unwell and bedridden, but I’m very pleased to see you all. I welcome all of you,” he said in a voice that was just about audible but retained the steely spirit of a political patriarch.

Mr. Basu’s frail health made the occasion an essentially sombre one. Both Transport Minister Subhash Chakraborty and the former Speaker of the Lok Sabha, Somnath Chatterjee, spoke on the occasion in a quivering voice. “We want him to be with us for many more years,” said Mr. Chatterjee. “I’ve travelled within the country and elsewhere, but seldom have I come across a leader who is so well-loved by the people.”

“He’s the one person who can uphold the Communist movement,” said Mr. Chakraborty. Expressing the hope that the slippages witnessed by the Communist Party of India (Marxist) in the recent elections in the State would not mean that West Bengal had strayed from Communist ideals, he said: “The trust of the people shall never be betrayed.”

A number of Left Front leaders including Fire and Emergency Services Minister Pratim Chatterjee, senior Forward Bloc leader Ashok Ghosh and Kolkata Mayor Bikash Ranjan Bhattacharya were present.

Children from a number of city schools joined in. Some of them dressed as traditional ‘chhau’ dancers stepped daintily to drumbeats. Others formed a float showing a Chinese dragon, while more of them lined up with balloons — a balloon for every year Mr. Basu’s eventful life.
Mamata’s greetings

On behalf of Trinamool Congress chief Mamata Banerjee, the Leader of the Opposition in the West Bengal Assembly, Partha Chatterjee, visited Mr. Basu later in the day. “Mamata Banerjee is in New Delhi for the railway budget, but she has conveyed her wishes for his long life,” Mr. Chatterjee said.

Union Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee called up on the phone to wish him long life. Mr. Basu personally thanked Mr. Mukherjee for having found the time to call him.

Left Front Committee chairman Biman Bose spent about 30 minutes with Mr. Basu. Other visitors included yesteryear actors including Madhabi Mukherjee. Governor Gopal Krishna Gandhi had come on Tuesday to convey his best wishes.

Through the day on Wednesday, scores of visitors came in to wish the veteran.

Several Kolkata newspapers brought out supplements to mark the day, and television channels ran repeats of his interview recordings and clippings of a documentary made on Mr. Basu by award-winning director Gautam Ghosh.

Mr. Basu, who perhaps for the first time did not cast his vote this time due to poor health, had expressed his regret at not being able to campaign for the party. In April 2008, he was unable to attend the Coimbatore Party Congress due to failing health.
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A mixed outlook on the economy

Jul 092009
 

asia-stockInvestors can’t shake their worries that the economy won’t recover by the end of the year.
Stocks finished mostly lower after zigzagging for much of the day Wednesday. A mixed outlook on the economy from the International Monetary Fund and falling commodity prices added to the downbeat mood.
That tone could improve Thursday thanks to a narrower-than-expected loss from Alcoa Inc., which ushered in the second quarter earnings season after the closing bell Wednesday. The aluminum producer’s shares rose 6 percent in after-hours trading.
Traders also will also be watching retail sales figures coming out Thursday to see if slippage in consumer confidence translated into a weaker take at cash registers.
Another tumble in oil prices dragged energy shares lower on Wednesday and reflected concerns that demand for resources will remain weak as the economy struggles. More stocks fell than rose on the New York Stock Exchange, but major indicators ended mixed.
Stocks drew some support from a strong auction of 10-year Treasury notes. That helped allay one of the market’s recent worries, that the government would have trouble finding enough buyers for the massive amount of debt it’s issuing. Treasury’s also benefited from safe-haven buying because of concerns about the economy.
After sending stocks soaring this spring on the belief that the economy was turning around, investors have put their buying on hold since mid-June as several pieces of disappointing economic data eroded the case for a quick recovery.
“There’s nothing to get people to jump into the market,” said Kurt Karl, chief U.S. economist at Swiss Re. “Nothing to get them excited.”
The Dow Jones industrials rose 14.81, or 0.2 percent, to 8,178.41.
The broader Standard & Poor’s 500 index fell 1.47, or 0.2 percent, to 879.56 and the Nasdaq composite index rose 1.00, or 0.1 percent, to 1,747.17. Both the Dow and S&P 500 hit levels not seen since May 1.
The market has already digested the most recent batch of economic news, including worse-than-expected reports on employment and manufacturing, and is becoming anxious ahead of second-quarter earnings season and the forecasts from companies that are sure to be the next big test for stocks.
Many analysts say a recovery is indeed on its way — investors just need to be more realistic about its pace.
“At least for the first year of the expansion we’re likely to see quite anemic growth,” said Avery Shenfeld, chief economist at CIBC World Markets. “The message is to be patient. The broader rise in equities that we’ve seen since the spring will eventually prove to be warranted.”
The IMF said Wednesday it expects the world economy to shrink by 1.4 percent in 2009, slightly worse than its earlier estimate of 1.3 percent. But it boosted its estimate for global economic growth in 2010 to 2.5 percent, up from its April projection of 1.9 percent.
Meanwhile, oil prices fell for a sixth straight day, dropping $2.79 to settle at $60.14 a barrel, tumbling sharply from an eight-month high of $73 in just one week.
The falling price of oil has contributed to selling on world exchanges over the past week. On Tuesday, the major U.S. indexes lost at least 2 percent, including the Dow, which fell 161 points.
Both the Dow and the S&P 500 have shed 7 percent since their recent highs on June 12. Though the weak volume that has marked trading in recent weeks shows little conviction behind the selling, analysts say the market is at risk for a further pullback if it doesn’t soon get the good news it’s looking for.

Analysts note that investors have been shifting money out of industries they had sent sharply higher this spring, like financials and energy, and moving into more defensive areas like health care and consumer staples.
In other trading, the price of the benchmark 10-year Treasury note jumped about a point following the successful bond auction. That pushed its yield down sharply to 3.31 percent from 3.46 percent late Tuesday. That marks the lowest level for the 10-year yield since May 20.
Treasury yields have softened in recent weeks after spiking in early June to an eight-month high of 4.01 percent. The drop in long-term yields since then is good for consumers because yields are closely tied to interest rates on mortgages and other consumer loans.
The dollar mostly rose against other major currencies, while gold prices fell.
About two stocks fell for every one that rose on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 5.9 billion shares compared with 4.6 billion Tuesday.
The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 4.57, or 1 percent, to 479.68.
Overseas, Britain’s FTSE 100 index fell 1.1 percent, Germany’s DAX lost 0.6 percent and France’s CAC-40 fell 1.3 percent. Japan’s Nikkei stock average fell 2.4 percent.
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The Goverment announced IT exemptiom limit,

Jul 092009
 

budget-2009The government on Monday announced a slew of tax sops, including an additional Rs 10,000 personal income tax exemption and scrapping of 10 per cent surcharge, while announcing cheaper loans to farmers and incentives for export and infrastructure to attain nine per cent growth.

In tune with the poll promises made by the Congress and reflecting the pressures of the global financial crisis, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee presented the Budget for 2009-10 that contained a series of measures that could be termed popular.

Beginning with incentives for individual tax payers that included an additional exemption of Rs 15,000 for senior citizens and Rs 10,000 for women and others, Mukherjee also abolished Fringe Benefit Tax that could ease pressure on employers in giving benefits to the workers, but there was no change in corporate tax as also the rates for customs, excise and service tax.

Besides, the government pleased its constituency ‘aam admi’ (common man) by keeping its poll promise with a proposal to enact a Food Security Act for providing 25 kg of rice or wheat a month to the poor at Rs three per kg.

Attaching the highest priority for infrastructure, where government institutions and banks could finance Rs one lakh crore for projects in addition with private flow, Mukherjee said that the present conditions and uncertainty about global recovery would make it difficult for him to focus on fiscal deficit which would shoot to 6.8 per cent from 2.7 per cent last year.

He said additional revenue would be mobilised through disinvestment of government equity in public sector undertakings and other steps, but said that interest payment alone would be over Rs three lakh crore largely on account of the burden of stimulus packages announced last year that helped the economy grow by 6.7 per cent.

However, he said that government would have the ownership of banks and insurance companies even as disinvestment takes off while reitereating that state holding in these entities would be at least 51 per cent.

Mukherjee also announced a number of sector specific incentives, particularly for those that promote employment, and announced a hike in provision for flagship schemes like NREGA by 144 per cent to Rs 39,100 crore and said that government would also provide a minimum of Rs 100 a day under the job guara

Inflation continues to be in -ve zone,

Jul 092009
 

bombay-stock1Inflation stayed negative for the fourth consecutive week, at a negative 1.55 per cent for the week ended June 27 as against a negative 1.3 per cent in the previous week.
The wholesale price index for all commodities, used to measure the inflation, was however up 0.04 per cent on a week-on-week basis, at 234.7.
Indranil Pan, chief economist at Kotak Mahindra Bank, said the numbers were on expected lines. “By September, we expect the inflation to bottom out or come out of the negative zone,” he said.
The prices of primary articles rose 0.3 per cent and manufacturing products prices fell 0.1 per cent. The fuel index, however, remains unchanged for the week.
But the recent fuel price hike is expected to feed into the inflation numbers soon. He expects a 60 basis point impact on inflation numbers due to this and subsequently another 30 basis points as the price hike feeds into the system.
For the year end, he expects inflation at 7 per cent but this is without factoring in the monsoon impact.
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Markets were trading mixed today

Jul 092009
 

budgetThe key benchmark indices were rangebound in lacklustre afternoon trade today. The Sensex was trading at 13,843, up 74 points. The Nifty rose 26 points to 4,105.

While metals and oil & gas stocks gained, capital goods and auto counters dragged the markets. The BSE metal index rose 1.7 per cent and the oil & gas index was up 1.2 per cent.

The capital goods index on the BSE dropped nearly 1 per cent and the BSE auto index shed 0.5 per cent.

In the Sensex pack, M&M was the biggest loser. The stock fell 3.5 per cent. Tata Motors, ICICI Bank and BHEL were the other main losers in the group, down 1.5 per cent.

Sun Pharma, JP Associates and Reliance Infra were among the prominent gainers in the group.

Asian markets were trading mixed today. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 1.4 per cent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and South Korea’s Kospi, however, were in the positive turf.
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